U.S. Pandemic-Related Deaths Undercounted, Study Finds

Total could reach 400,000 this year as mental health concerns grow

Robert Roy Britt
Medium Coronavirus Blog
4 min readOct 12, 2020

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Twenty thousand chairs, each representing 1,000 deaths from the coronavirus pandemic in the United States. Credit: The Washington Post / Getty Images

The U.S. death toll from Covid-19 so far reflects only about two-thirds of the excess deaths the country has seen this year, a new study finds. The rest are thought to be a mix of Covid-19 deaths that were not counted as such, due to miscoding or delays in reporting, along with increases in deaths related to the stress and health care challenges caused by the pandemic.

Scientists are also seeing pandemic-related increases in substance abuse and mental health disorders that they fear could have lasting effects on large swaths of the population.

Total deaths are very consistent from year-to-year, so the over 200,000 Covid-19 deaths this year make an easy-to-see blip in the long-term trend. Thing is, the blip is bigger than that. In the new analysis, deaths between March 1 and August 1 were 20% higher than in the same period in previous years, but only 67% of that excess tally had been officially attributed directly to Covid-19.

“Contrary to skeptics who claim that Covid-19 deaths are fake or that the numbers are much smaller than we hear on the news, our research and many other studies on the same subject show quite the opposite,” says the study’s lead author, Steven…

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Robert Roy Britt
Medium Coronavirus Blog

Editor of Wise & Well on Medium + the Writer's Guide at writersguide.substack.com. Author of Make Sleep Your Superpower: amazon.com/dp/B0BJBYFQCB